Prediction of Aaron Gil Garcia vs Edoardo De Filippo at M15 Monastir 10-09-25

• Second Serve Performance: Aaron Gil Garcia has a recent win rate of 38.25% on second serve points, slightly trailing Edoardo De Filippo who stands at 38.93%.
• Return Game Analysis: If we consider return game stats, Aaron Gil Garcia excels on opponents' second serves with a win rate of 51.99%, surpassing Edoardo De Filippo who has a 48.06% win rate.
• First Serve Returns: Edoardo De Filippo shows strength in returning first serves, winning 30.56% of points, whereas Aaron Gil Garcia is at 25.74%.
• Under Pressure: When facing breakpoints, Edoardo De Filippo demonstrates marginally better resilience, saving 52.73% compared to Aaron Gil Garcia's 51.39%.
• Overall Performance: Over the past year, Aaron Gil Garcia has won a higher percentage of matches at 61.22%, as opposed to Edoardo De Filippo's 58.06%.
• Preferred Surface: Both players exhibit their best performances on hard courts, each having a 53% win rate, yet their struggles differ by surface type.
• Event Level Experience: Both players have contested predominantly in Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments of $10K, with Aaron Gil Garcia displaying a slight edge in match wins.
• Quality of Opponents: Edoardo De Filippo has faced slightly stronger competitors over the past year, with an average opponent rank of 139.48 compared to Aaron Gil Garcia’s 155.78.
• Deciding Set Performance: In matches extending to a deciding set, Aaron Gil Garcia has a higher win percentage at 58% compared to Edoardo De Filippo's 50%.
• Current Event: The current form and specific event performance should be considered for a more dynamic forecast.

Editorial Prediction (October 8, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match presents a competitive scenario, with both players displaying strengths in different aspects of their games. Aaron Gil Garcia has a slight advantage in return games, particularly on opponents’ second serves.

Edoardo De Filippo’s ability to handle pressure and his proficiency in first serve returns showcase his potential to dominate specific situations during a match. Furthermore, his encounters against higher-ranked opponents may better prepare him for challenging matches.

Aaron Gil Garcia’s success in deciding sets indicates resilience and a knack for closing tightly contested encounters. His consistent performance over the past year and slight edge in match wins point towards his competitiveness.

Considering all these factors, Aaron Gil Garcia is slightly favored to win this match, particularly if it results in a long-drawn contest with multiple deciding sets. However, Edoardo De Filippo’s strengths might still play a crucial role in tipping the scales, making it likely a closely fought match.